Comment from another list

This is an interesting commenton this study, posted on another list ...


Date: Tue, 26 Apr 2005 19:58:29 +0200
To: healthfraud@lists.quackwatch.com
From: Rune Klevjer
Subject: Re: [healthfraud] MMR in Japan - with graph


OK, I will be more exact this time:

We have 4 different factors:

Factor 1: MMR discontinued
Factor 2: Measles vaccine introduced
Factor 3: Mumps vaccine introduced
Factor 4: Rubella vaccine introduced


Here are 7 examples where those 4 factors could produce the same graph, while MMR could still be the causative factor in Autism:


Example 1: MMR is the causative factor and Measles vaccine is causative factor
Example 2: MMR is the causative factor and Mumps vaccine is causative factor
Example 3: MMR is the causative factor and Rubella vaccine is causative factor
Example 4: MMR is the causative factor and Measles and Mumps vaccines are causative factors
Example 5: MMR is the causative factor and Measles and Rubella vaccines are causative factors
Example 6: MMR is the causative factor and Mumps and Rubella vaccines are causative factors
Example 7: MMR is the causative factor and Measles and Mumps and Rubella vaccines are causative factors



Researches, after presenting data, made conclusion:


"This destroys any possible causative link between use of MMR vaccine and autism."



I say:
Data presented does not support this kind of conclusions. Sorry to burst your bobble.


Message to the Members of the list:
Contact researches, and tell them that they are wrong.
At best, their data are making it less probable, but they are far cry from exact proof.


Rune Klevjer





At 06:42 PM 4/26/2005, you wrote:

Sorry to be devils advocate, but study is only comparing differences between the possible effects of triple MMR versus single M+M+R.
Sorry, but some conclusions are stepping outside data.


This study is only showing that incidence of Autism was higher after triple was replaced with 3 single. That is all what this graph is showing. Nothing else and nothing more.
No other conclusions can be made from this kind of data, cause we have 2 different factors that changed at the same time.


Factor one: MMR discontinued.
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