A Space Odessy? George must've had a large put on US dollar futures! Arbitrage on the Dollar? Generally, his views are correct, if not premature.

Date:   6/5/2005 8:54:29 AM ( 19 y ago)

The International Financial System Is Coming Apart At The Seams - George Soros
Soros Blames 'Bush Factor' for Dollar's Fall
Thu Jun 27, 2002
By Elif Kaban

LONDON (Reuters) - Billionaire investor George Soros on Thursday blamed President Bush ( news - web sites) and his team for the fall in the U.S. dollar and declared: "The international financial system is coming apart at the seams."

"I think we're in fairly serious trouble. I do think we're in a crisis situation," said the Hungarian-born hedge fund king-turned-philanthropist in a speech to the London Business School on Thursday evening.

"We have the Latin American crisis and we have the declining U.S. dollar, which means that the motor of the global economy is basically switched off," said Soros.

"There is a lack of confidence. That's what I call the 'Bush factor' in the economy," said the 72-year-old speculator.

Soros, whose assault on the British pound 10 years ago ejected Britain from the European exchange rate mechanism, said the dollar's recent decline had taken him by surprise.

"What worries me is that there doesn't seem to be any great desire on part of the authorities to do much. There is still a belief, particularly in the United States, that the financial markets will correct themselves. But markets cannot be left on their own. You need to correct them," said Soros.

The dollar has seen multi-year lows against the euro amid worries about profitability, corporate chicanery and global security ( news - external web site).

It slumped to within a cent of parity with the euro on Wednesday on news of the accounting scandal at U.S. telecoms group WorldCom Inc. and sagged against major currencies on Thursday against a backdrop of news that the U.S. economy expanded at a 6.1 percent annual rate in the first quarter, the fastest in more than two years, and firmer Wall Street stocks.

Analysts, while regarding the U.S. economic team's handling of the dollar drop as not very elegant, say there is nothing to suggest the Bush administration is unhappy about the slide, something that may please its business constituents.

Many are wondering what happened to the "strong dollar" policy born in the Clinton era and left to flounder under Bush.

On Thursday, White House economic adviser Lawrence Lindsey said on CNBC television that the administration did support a strong dollar but he also backed the view that the markets should set the value of the currency.

But Soros said: "The claim that markets are always right is a false claim. What's true is that markets are often wrong, therefore you need intervention by central banks."

ANYONE AT HOME?

Soros said the "Bush factor" was to blame for a flight to liquidity in financial markets. "Everyone's going home. The Swiss banks are going home. The strengthening of the yen also clearly shows repatriation," he said.

"The markets are looking for leadership. Stock markets would take heart from intervention by the United States because it would show that there's somebody at home," he said.

Soros declined to comment when asked by Reuters about the outlook for the ailing U.S. currency and U.S. assets.

He said the global economic downturn had exposed the weaknesses of corporate America and how the U.S. administration runs the international economic system.

He said that the collapse of U.S. oil trader Enron Corp. and the accounting scandal at WorldCom were to a large extent a "natural fallout" from the economic boom-and-bust cycle following the bull market of the 1990s and the ensuing burst.

"But the decline in the markets have gone somewhat further than what would be the natural consequences of the previous exuberance," Soros said.

"What is not the natural consequence of that boom and bust cycle is the decline in the U.S. dollar. If things had gone according to plan, the dollar ought to have been quite strong."

"The decline in the dollar came as a surprise to me," he added.

"I attribute it to lack of confidence in the management of affairs by the United States, its unilateralism, the pursuit of national self-interests and not living up to the responsibility of being the dominant financial power in the world, not taking care of the system."

9th-This article was published in 2002..George, apparently had a large put on US dollar currency futures! Or was arbitraging currencies/exchanges. We have seemed to weathered the imminent doom but keep an eye on Warren B and G Soros you will have a very good guess of where the international community stands on the politics of the United States. Once George Soros took a large position against the Br. Pound, and broke the Bank of England....Made himself a billionaire...If savvy investors do the same with the U.S.Dollar (and you can be assured they DO!) we m still have our comeuppance. Even Rome paid the piper...We are no greater than Rome...



 

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